| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | W | Norfolk State | 31-10 | 1471.0 | +74.7 | 1545.7 | 95.4% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | L | Virginia Tech | 21-44 | 1545.7 | -51.1 | 1494.7 | 23.0% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | L | East Carolina | 17-20 | 1494.7 | +12.9 | 1507.6 | 47.8% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | L | James Madison | 20-46 | 1507.6 | -0.7 | 1506.8 | 14.3% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | L | Georgia State | 10-42 | 1506.8 | -37.0 | 1469.9 | 42.7% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | W | App State | 10-3 | 1469.9 | +6.7 | 1476.6 | 35.8% |